JJ Zachariason @LateRoundQB Feb 24th, 2023. In 2019, they were first. And this is what you should use a trade calculator for: helping you gauge the value of a deal, looking for suggestions on how to make a deal more likely to be accepted, and seeing how it compares to other trades made that involve the players you are looking to deal. Late-Round Fantasy Football creator. That's 15 if you discard Ja'Marr Chase, Devonta Smith, and Jaylen Waddle. It's hard to remember an NFL Draft that did so little to help the fantasy football world. In other words, 2023 is an ideal class to trade up in. Jets WR Garrett Wilson. Some of it *is* redundant. I'll side with first-round running back history here, though, and continue to view Etienne as a high-end fantasy football asset. Here's my honest review, but please note that I've been a JJ fan since I started listening to him in 2019: The information itself is extremely valuable. He can play all over the field, too, and be a complete matchup nightmare. To see previously sent newsletters, you can check out the newsletter archive. If you're drafting Amari Rodgers in rookie drafts, you're hoping his new quarterback, Aaron Rodgers, stays put in Green Bay. Connor Hughes (who covers the team for The Athletic) believes the Jets "will deploy a running back by committee as long as Mike LaFleur is their offensive coordinator.". Tier: 1. He doesn't beat you over the head with "draft this guy" he instead explains why he likes certain players and how he came to that conclusion (his "model"). The wide receiver position has two or three prospects clearly above the rest, depending on your point of view, ad a solid second tier well know more about after the draft. The approach is extremely nuanced and analytical. And it's not like the landing spot dramatically changed his location in my rankings. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast is a fantasy football show that helps you win through bite-sized, analytically-driven episodes. See Fantasy Football Week 7 PPR rankings for Dynasty League Football Dynasty ADP and JJ Zachariason compared with each other to find the best sleepers and avoid the busts. . Instead of just drafting from a list of players and crossing your fingers with the hopes that those players produce, host JJ Zachariason provides a process to help you find breakout candidates . It doesn't seem that bold to think he'll be the best rookie wideout statistically in 2021. White, a highly efficient college receiver, is now paired with Tom Brady, who throws to his running backsany running backregardless of the situation. JJ Zachariason: East Coast Dad. Last week on the show, JJ talked through a handful of players he was looking to buy in his dynasty leagues this offseason. 2009-2018 numberFire, Inc. Certain headlines thanks to Rotoworld. Don't forget, Luck usually averaged around 300 rushing yards with a handful of rushing touchdowns per season. Join the Late-Round Fantasy Football Patreon community for exclusive access to, The Late-Round Prospect Guide is a downloadable PDF that includes. To get the full benefits of numberFire, please log in. February 27, 2023. Bell's real-life ceiling isn't that exciting, but his PPR upside is. Despite his fairly impressive production -- he had a best-season yards per team pass attempt rate of 4.23, ranking third-best in the class -- to go along with early declare status and a good breakout age, it's just tough to ignore that he weighs about as much as I did when I was an eighth-grader. The Podfather invites top experts to discuss the impact of blockbuster NFL trades, injuries to superstars, and insights into the best fantasy draft strategy and . Hes easily become one of my favorite podcasters quickly. Wide Receiver. James Cook feels a tad overvalued, with the Bills seeming to view him as a receiving specialist rather than Singletary's every-down heir. Michael Carter II is now officially a Day 3 back, and that doesn't bode well for his career success in fantasy football. , at the very latest, will be gone next season when he becomes a free agent. The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Mailbag 2/24/23. He deserves support imo. In hindsight, I should've given Elijah Moore a little more love when I talked about him before the draft. Lit. Dynasty Rankings. Premium membership provides access to all of our awesome dynasty content for an entire year. JJ Zachariason. There are a lot of analytical negatives, though. During his Sophomore year, his snaps played dipped by 143, so his production didn't look as nice. JJ is one of the few analysts I've found that clearly and cleanly translates a process into actual, actionable advice on how to beat the market effectively. I'm looking forward to seeing how he updates it each week. Melvin Gordon, at the very latest, will be gone next season when he becomes a free agent. You can preorder the 2023 prospect guide below. He has underrated rushing ability, too -- he's often compared to. As usual you provide solid information as all dynasty degenerates prepare for the combines and draft. That's translated into 50 fewer wide receiver targets than any other team. You also get air horns. He's a third-rounder, and he's going to be playing with one of the best young quarterbacks in football, and it's on a team that doesn't necessarily have a locked-in number-two receiver. Shoutout to @Aideiko_FF who has been compiling Superflex ADP from ongoing drafts. My model likes D'Wayne Eskridge more than I do, and that's creating some issues with where to rank him. Sleepers, as Ive told you before, dont exist and suck when they are drafted higher. For Cornell Powell, it has little to do with his analytical profile. The draft just unfolded in a way where there aren't many wide receivers in this range to get excited about, and Carter dropped to a spot with a clear path to relevancy. Lawrence enters the league with three years of starting experience and an adjusted yards per attempt rate that got better with each season after being a top recruit in the country as he exited high school. So, yes, it's possible that San Francisco ends up liking Elijah Mitchell more than Trey Sermon. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 1Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 1Post-Draft Positional Rank: 1Tier: 1. Chris Olave (13.21), Garrett Wilson (12.69), Christian Watson (11.72), Jahan Dotson (10.88), and Drake London (10.51) all eclipsed the feat last year. The biggest faller from these pre- to post-draft rankings is Tylan Wallace. With early fourth-round draft capital, Fitzpatrick is a 67th percentile prospect in the model, which isn't noteworthy at all. If you're unfamiliar with JJ's work, it will change how you think about fantasy. That's the feeling I get. Get it here! Among the 24 running backs who were invited to the combine (yes, I know the combine didn't happen, but they still had an invite list), Harris ranked third in best-season total yards per team play, sixth in best-season reception share, and fourth in best-season total touchdown share. JJ Zachariason has the perfect Skyy Moore comp, and I'm mad I didn't think of it. As the season nears an end, how can bettors best capitalize on the NFL sides and totals? In 2020, he ranked second in deep-ball yards and seventh in average depth of target, and over his final two collegiate seasons, he averaged more than 20 yards per reception. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 13Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 9Post-Draft Positional Rank: 9Tier: 7. Thanks to that incredibly high yards per team pass attempt rate, Eskridge checks in around the 85th percentile mark in my model. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 8Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 3. Gain Instant Access to this article and so much more. He's 6'3'', 205 pounds in a class that lacks size. For example, the record holder for rushing yards in a season at the quarterback position, Lamar Jackson, has four of the top 14 rushing seasons all-time for quarterbacks and has never finished worse than QB8 in points per game in his four starting seasons. Ive heard whispers of buzz surrounding Treylon Burks, so looking at historical comps, (8.6 PPG in his rookie season), there have been 192 wide receivers who have scored 8.6 per game or less in their rookie season, and the list is filled with bust after bust after bust. Fields still made significant gains as a passer, improving in completion %, TD %, interception %, yards per attempt, adjusted yards per attempt, quarterback rating, and QBR. Let me know and I'll get to them in the next edition of the @DLFootball Dynasty Fantasy Football mailbag! What I really like about it is it doesn't tell you who's good and who's not (according to the analyst) it shows you the process JJ takes when making his rankings as well. 2023 Rookie Rankings; Dynasty Top 250 Rankings; Dynasty QB Rankings; . That's a recipe for disaster. In fact, he comes in as a 44th percentile prospect in my model. And the air horns. I bought it. Dynasty Rankings. Although, if Pickett can avoid falling flat on his face, he should be a popular dynasty asset in 2023. But during that final campaign, in games active, Stevenson compiled an impressive 15% reception share and 22% total touchdown share. Find out more, Have questions or need some help? He's got a complete profile with an elite breakout age, he's reuniting with his college quarterback that helped him win the Biletnikoff Award as a Sophomore, and he's playing in an offense that's ranked in the top-six in neutral script pass-to-rush ratio in each of the last two seasons under current head coach Zac Taylor. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 12Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 8Post-Draft Positional Rank: 16Tier: 10. I definitely am learning how to properly approach what's free content and what's not, and how to strike the right balance. 2023 Rookie Rankings; Dynasty Top 250 Rankings; Dynasty QB Rankings; . JJ explains his process for evaluating prospects and provides his insights into the top options in . Dulcich's downfield ability will make him well worth the risk if he hits. Since 2006, the model has seen nine wide receivers selected in Round 1 with a negative stat score, and zero of the nine have been reliable fantasy football assets. 3. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. You'll get the best projections in the business! Nothing makes Shane happier than thinking about dynasty fantasy football, except for talking about it or maybe writing about it. He had a strong Freshman season at Alabama where he outproduced first-round talent like the aforementioned Smith and Henry Ruggs. A University of Pittsburgh graduate and diehard Pittsburgh sports fan, JJ now finds himself living just blocks away from Cincinnati Bengals' Paul Brown Stadium. Like I said: teams change. Privacy Policy. Sermon, who was one of the few backs with good size in this class, has a chance to be that player for them. He's not an early declare, and his lanky frame is something we really haven't seen before from such a strong prospect. 2. Find details and individual feeds for all of these podcasts, as well as a ton of dynasty fantasy football content at https://dynastyleaguefootball.com. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast gives you everything you need to know about fantasy football in bite-sized 15-minute episodes. Maybe that'll end up being Fitzpatrick. NFL JJ Zachariason @LateRoundQB Feb 16th, 2023 Which players should you be selling in your dynasty leagues this offseason? I say all this to say, my buys from the second-year receiver class are limited to that first subset of players discussed, Olave, Wilson, Watson, Dotson, and London. You also gain access to the best dynasty fantasy football resources in the industry. Our nightmares came true with this running back class, with just four backs being drafted on Day 1 and Day 2. 2. I feel like he does go a little more in depth. The PDF is 165 pages. read image description. By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. Those are more than acceptable marks. Cole Kmet was the Bears leading target-getter with 69 last year, followed by Darnell Mooneys 61, Dante Pettis with 41, and Equanimeous St. Brown wasnt far behind with 38 targets. The guy does great work and in my opinion deserves some support. Fantasy football, drafting in particular, is about beating the market. Instead of a player like Montgomery, though, Green Bay's hoping they have more of a, He just wasn't overly productive, and it's tough to get super excited about landing with arguably the worst run organization in sports. Running Backs Positional Analysis. I don't see it as, But, again, I'm wrong all the time. JJ Zachariason (@LateRoundQB) November 28, 2022. . 165 Summer St, Andover MA, 01810 | (617) 684-5972. Quarterback. Team philosophies aren't static. That's some elite company. It changed his life. Our annual Dynasty & Rookie Draft Guides And speaking of my model, given Harris' first-round draft capital, he comes in as a 96th percentile running back. There's a chance Jones hits his ceiling as a passer -- he's playing for a coaching staff that has obviously gotten a lot from a pocket passer in the past. The slot, of course, is where Moore played the majority of his snaps (78% during his final season, per Pro Football Focus) in college. As I noted in my pre-draft rankings, one of my favorite stats about Fields came from numberFire's own Jim Sannes: 87.6% of Justin Fields' attempts last season came against top-50 defenses according to Bill Connelly's SP+ method. That he's a lock to be as good as A.J. Use it as a tool in your arsenal, but do not use it as the end-all decision-maker. If you recall, Brown fell in rookie drafts because he landed in Tennessee, a team that was one of the most run-heavy in football. I found some of the charts he included somewhat hard/unintuitive to read. Greg Dulcich's situation is murkier. To get the full benefits of numberFire, please log in. The smart play if you roster either Dotson or Watson is to tag a second-round rookie pick to them and attempt to trade for London for a cheap tier-up. would be the quarterback, Collins would be more in the Amon-Ra St. Brown tier -- he'd likely be ahead of St. Brown. By registering, you indicate that you agree to the Terms Of Service. Both are very much in play for the Superflex 1.01. Tyler Lockett was my pre-draft comparison -- that's what we're working with when it comes to Elijah Moore. PGA DFS & Daily Fantasy Golf Advice. Where a player gets drafted isn't everything. He's one of 11 drafted wide receivers with a best-season yards per team attempt rate north of 3.0, and with a strong breakout age, Brown is listed as an 81st percentile prospect according to the model. In addition, you can find detailed profiles of all of the top prospects in my pre-draft profiles. 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Back, and continue to view him as a tool in your dynasty leagues offseason!: 9Post-Draft Positional Rank: 1Post-Draft Positional Rank: 1Tier: 1 is n't that exciting but! Of rushing touchdowns per season which is n't noteworthy at all comes as! Complete matchup nightmare -- that 's 15 if you or someone you know has gambling...